Dayton vs Arizona Predictions, Picks & Player Props for March 23

Mar 21, 2024; Salt Lake City, UT, USA; Dayton Flyers forward Daron Holmes II (15) drives to the basket against Nevada Wolf Pack forward Nick Davidson (11) during the second half in the first round of the 2024 NCAA Tournament at Vivint Smart Home Arena-Delta Center. Mandatory Credit: Rob Gray-USA TODAY SportsThe #7 Dayton Flyers are big underdogs to the #2 Arizona Wildcats in second-round NCAA Tournament actionDayton needed a 17-point second-half comeback against Nevada to advanceSee the Dayton vs Arizona predictions, player props and odds for Saturday’s game in Salt Lake City

The #7 Dayton Flyers (25-7, 3-2 neutral, 16-15-1 ATS) pulled off a miracle comeback over Nevada on Thursday to advance to the second round in the West Region of the NCAA Tournament. Waiting for the Flyers in the round of 32 is the #2 Arizona Wildcats (26-8, 3-2 neutral, 21-13 ATS).

The Wildcats cruised past Long Beach State (85-65) in the first round and are 9.5-point favorites in the Dayton/Arizona odds for Saturday’s game at the Delta Center in Salt Lake City. Dayton vs Arizona is the earliest tip on March 23, scheduled for 10:45 am MT/12:45 pm ET.

Dayton Flyers vs Arizona Wildcats Odds

Saturday’s college basketball odds list Arizona as a -480 moneyline favorite with Dayton at +360. The odds have moved significantly towards Arizona in the last 24 hours. The opening Dayton/Arizona odds had the Wildcats as -385 chalk. The game total is sitting at 149.5, up one point from where it opened.

The college basketball public betting splits show 94% of moneyline handle on Arizona so far.

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Odds as of March 22nd. 

Arizona (+200) is the favorite to win the West Region in the latest Final Four odds, ahead of #1 North Carolina (+380). Dayton shortened to +2500 after the Nevada game.

Dayton Comes Back from 17 Down to Beat Nevada

The Flyers’ tournament looked like it would end almost as soon as it began. Dayton fell behind Nevada 34-25 at halftime and the deficit ballooned to 17 (56-39) with just over seven minutes to play. At that point, Dayton’s win probability had fallen to just 1.5%. But the Flyers ended the game on a 24-4 run to emerge with an unlikely 63-60 win.

Co-Atlantic 10 Player of the Year Da’Ron Holmes (20.1 PPG, 8.4 RPG) had a game-high 18 points on just 5-of-7 shooting from the field and 8-of-9 from the stripe, plus a game-high nine rebounds.

Dayton is now 3-2 against top-50 KenPom teams, beating St John’s (88-81 neutral), Cincinnati (82-68 away), and Nevada, while falling to Houston (69-55 neutral) and Northwestern (71-66 away).

Dayton vs Arizona H2H Stats

Arizona Defense Smother LBS

The Wildcats allowed Long Beach State to go on an 11-0 run early in the first half and found themselves in a 22-17 hole, but Arizona only allowed 43 points in the final 29 minutes en route to an easy 85-65 win. Center Oumar Ballo accounted for four of Arizona’s eight blocks and Long Beach shot just 33.3% from the floor (17.6% from three).

,Sophomore guard Kylan Boswell (10.1 PPG) had a season-high and game-high 20 points for Tommy Lloyd’s team, while leading scorer Caleb Love (18.1 PPG) was right on his season average with 18 points, while adding 11 rebounds, five assists, and a pair of steals.

Arizona had an excellent 8-4 record against top-50 teams this season, including a 78-73 win at Duke early in the year. The Wildcats won the final Pac-12 regular-season title with a 15-5 record in conference play.

DAY vs ARI Player Props

The college basketball player props for Dayton/Arizona come from DraftKings Sportsbook on March 22. 

Dayton’s Holmes (19.5 points) and Arizona’s Love (18.5 points) are head-and-shoulders above their teammates in the Dayton/Arizona player props, while Zona big man Oumar Ballo has the highest rebound total at 10.5 O/U.

Dayton vs Arizona Prediction

Arizona certainly had the better first-round performance, but this is a big spread against a solid Dayton team. Not only is Holmes one of the best players in the nation, the Flyers as a team are one of the best in the country from three (40.2%, third).  The final seven minutes of the Nevada game showed their very high ceiling, and they only have one double-digit loss all season (69-55 to Houston).

DAY vs ARI picks:

Dayton +10 (-110)Holmes over 19.5 points (-130)

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