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There are just three matches left in the Champions League season, including this week’s second-leg games and the June 1 final from Wembley Stadium in London.
Let’s dive into the second leg of each semi-final and lock in a best bet! We’re coming off a 1-1-0 performance with our picks from last week.
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Champions League Semi-Final Preview & Best Bets (2024)
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Paris Saint-Germain (-210) vs. Borussia Dortmund (+550), DRAW (+380) | O/U 3.5 (+120/-150)
It was none other than Niclas Füllkrug who notched the lone goal (36’) in the first leg of the aggregate last week, giving Dortmund a 1-0 lead as they head to Paris for the second portion of the tie. Füllkrug has been the star scorer for the BVB this season, leading the team both domestically (12 goals) and in the UCL (three goals). The second leg kicks off on Tuesday at 3:00 p.m. ET from Parc des Princes in Paris.
This will be the fourth and final meeting between these two clubs this season. Paris Saint-Germain won 2-0 at home back in September, they tied 1-1 in Dortmund in December and Dortmund collected the 1-0 home win this past week. Despite all of the low-scoring affairs, the oddsmakers still set a total at 3.5 goals. I’m coming right back to the alternate under of 3.0 goals, just like we did on May 1.
Edin Terzić’s squad has been the best defensive team in the UCL this season. Over 11 matches played, they’ve conceded just nine total goals (0.8 GA/G). In addition, their goalkeeper, Gregor Kobel, leads the Champions League with five clean sheets. Now, it’s not like Dortmund has been pounding the scrubs of Europe over this run. They emerged from the “Group of Death,” which featured PSG, AC Milan and Newcastle, while also then taking care of PSV Eindhoven and Atletico Madrid to get to this stage.
Furthermore, across all competitions, “Die Schwarzgelben” have allowed two or fewer goals in 12 of their last 13 matches while conceding once or no times in 10 of those matches. Terzić has this defense dialed in, and I think goals will be at a premium once again. Give me the alt under at 3.0 goals.
Bet: Alt Under 3.0 (+105)
Real Madrid (-105) vs. Bayern Munich (+285), DRAW (+280) | O/U 2.5 (-170/+135)
Meanwhile, there was no shortage of scoring in Germany last week as Real Madrid and Bayern Munich were knotted 2-2 after 90 minutes of play. VinÃcius Júnior scored both goals for the Spanish giant (24’, 83’ PEN), while Leroy Sané (53’) and Harry Kane (57’ PEN) struck for the home team. The two sides are back at it on Wednesday, and kickoff is scheduled for 3:00 p.m. ET from Santiago Bernabéu in Madrid.
I’m heading to the prop sheet for this semi-final clash in Madrid, and I’m locking in the chalk-scoring option, VinÃcius Júnior, to score at any time (+120). The Brazilian forward has developed into one of the most clutch players that we’ve seen in recent UCL history, amassing 16 Champions League tallies over the last three years (33 matches). Over the 33 matches, “Vini Jr.” has racked up 86 shots (35 shots on target)! He’s constantly scoring when the lights are the brightest, most famously netting the game-winning goal against Liverpool in the 2021-2022 UCL final (1-0).
On the flip side, Bayern’s defense hasn’t been impenetrable this season. They’ve allowed 41 goals over 32 Bundesliga matches (1.3 GA/G) while conceding 11 times over 11 UCL contests (1.0 GA/G). Factor in that they’ll make the trip to a hostile Spanish stadium, and I think Real Madrid, specifically Júnior, will get plenty of quality chances to score.
Bet: VinÃcius Júnior Anytime Goalscorer (+120)
