Seattle Seahawks vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction, Spread & Odds for Thursday Night Football Week 13

Nov 23, 2023; Arlington, Texas, USA; Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott (4) celebrates throwing a touchdown in the fourth quarter against the Washington Commanders at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY SportsThe Dallas Cowboys are 9-point home favorites over the Seattle Seahawks in the Week 13 TNF game on Thursday, November 30Dallas is an NFL-best 5-0 ATS as the home chalk this seasonSeattle is 2-3 ATS on the road during the 2023 campaign. Read on for our top Seahawks vs Cowboys picks for TNF here

As they ready to play host to the Seattle Seahawks (6-5, 5-5-1 ATS) in the Week 13 TNF game, the Dallas Cowboys (8-3, 8-3 ATS) are turning back the clock by turning their home field into a fortress and enter as big favorites in the Seahawks vs Cowboys odds.

Straight up, Dallas is 5-0 at home this season. Even more impressive, the Cowboys are an NFL-leading 5-0 against the spread as a home favorite.

Oddsmakers are expecting both trends to be continuing. Dallas is a 9-point home pick over Seattle in the Seahawks vs Cowboys odds. Seattle is 2-2 as an away underdog this season.

Diving deeper into this Seahawks vs Cowboys prediction and matchup, we’ll supply you with our best bet for this Week 13 showdown featuring these NFC rivals.

Seahawks vs Cowboys Odds

In the Seattle vs Dallas odds, the Cowboys are -420 moneyline favorites, giving them a 80.77% implied win probability. The total is set at 47.5 points. At 7-3-1 on the total this season, Dallas is the #1 NFL team for going over this season.

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Seattle vs Dallas odds as of November 29 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Be sure to claim one of the best best NFL betting promos to make your Seahawks vs Cowboys picks and to bet on other Week 13 NFL action. And check out FanDuel’s daily menu of odds boosts for TNF and other games this week.

Kickoff for this game at AT&T Stadium on Thursday, December 1 is set for 8:15pm ET. The broadcast is being carried by Prime Video and by DAZN in Canada.

Public Bettors Supporting Dallas Heavily

The latest NFL public betting splits for this game are displaying that the people are loving them some Cowboys. Dallas is pulling 79% of handle in the spread splits and 87% of moneyline handle splits.

Seattle, though, is 4-1 both SU and ATS in the last five meetings with Dallas. The Seahawks are also 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against NFC opposition. Overall, however, Seattle is 6-13-1 ATS through the club’s past 20 games.

Dallas is 5-1 both SU and ATS through the past five games. The Cowboys are also 6-0 ATS in their last six home games.

Ten of the last 15 Seahawks vs Cowboys games have gone under. The under is 6-4 in the last 10 games played in Dallas between these two teams. It’s the under that’s also proven to be the winning play in four of Seattle’s last five road games.

In the odds to win Super Bowl, Dallas is the sixth betting choice with a line of +1000.  At +5000, Seattle is 10th in this betting market.

Smith Ailing, Seahawks Struggling

Seattle QB Geno Smith was sacked six times in last week’s loss to the San Francisco 49ers. He’s nursing an elbow injury and it certainly appears to be impacting the offense and could affect how you play his passing total in the Seahawks vs Cowboys props. The Seahawks have gone 20 offensive possessions without scoring a touchdown.

Seahawks QB Geno Smith finished 18 of 27, 180 yards, INT in 31-13 loss to 49ers. Downplayed elbow injury factor.

"It was good enough to play," Geno said. "So wasn’t thinking about it. Just trying to go out there and win."

Did it affect him at all? "No. Not at all." pic.twitter.com/zpcM3cvUbR

— Jori Epstein (@JoriEpstein) November 24, 2023

Defensively, the Seattle pass rush also appears to be slowing down. Seattle is 11th in the NFL with 32 sacks. But the Seahawks have sacked the QB just six times over the past four games. Dallas hasn’t allowed Prescott to be sacked in any of the last three games.

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Cowboys a Juggernaut At Home

Dallas is facing Seattle riding a 13-game SU home-field winning streak. The average margin of victory in the Cowboys’ five home games this season is 29 points. No team in NFL history had previously won each of their first five home games in a season by a margin of 20 or more points.

The Dallas Cowboys have now won 13 games in a row at home which is tied for the longest home-game winning streak that Mike McCarthy has ever been the head coach of a team for (Packers, 2010-2012).

It is McCarthy’s third streak of at least 12 games.

Dude is so underrated.

— RJ Ochoa (@rjochoa) November 24, 2023

The Cowboys are scoring an NFL-leading 41 points per game at home. On average, Dallas is covering the spread at home by 18.7 points per game.

Since a 42-10 loss to San Francisco, Cowboys QB Dak Prescott has thrown for 18 TDs against two interceptions. Dallas CB DaRon Bland has already set an NFL record this season with five pick sixes.

Seahawks vs Cowboys Prediction

All eight of the wins by Dallas this season have come against teams with losing records. Seattle is just above that line at 6-5 SU.

That being the case, the Seahawks look to be a team in regression. Smith is hurting, and the offense is struggling. After losing 31-13 last week to the 49ers, they look ripe for another beating.

Seahawks vs Cowboys Picks: Dallas Cowboys -9 (-105)

TNF Record: 7-5-0 (+2 units)

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