Best Bets to Include in Your 49ers Super Bowl Same-Game Parlay for Sunday
by Brady Trettenero in NFL Football
Updated Feb 11, 2024 · 7:57 AM PST
Jan 28, 2024; Santa Clara, California, USA; San Francisco 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey (23) celebrates after scoring a touchdown against the Detroit Lions during the first half of the NFC Championship football game at Levi’s Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY SportsLooking to create a 49ers same-game parlay for Super Bowl Sunday?We’ve carved up a 49ers SGP for Sunday that pays out at +320 oddsBelow, see our 49ers same-game parlay picks for Super Bowl 58
When it comes to Super Bowl 58 between San Francisco and Kanas City, a same-game parlay can be the key to securing a nice payday. If you’re feeling strongly about one particular team, you can combine multiple bets on that team into a single parlay bet.
We’ve put together a 49ers same-game parlay for Super Bowl 58, taking advantage of the best NFL player props and most mispriced betting lines. Our Super Bowl SGP pays out at +320 odds at Bet365 Sportsbook using their Same Game Parlay+ feature.
Here’s our 49ers same-game parlay, along with justification for the picks below. Learn how to make a same-game parlay if you aren’t familiar.
49ers Super Bowl Same-Game Parlay
Pick | Odds |
---|---|
49ers 1H Moneyline | -125 |
Christian McCaffrey AnytimeTD | -225 |
Deebo Samuel 50 Receiving Yards Milestone | -170 |
PARLAY ODDS | +320 |
All odds as of Feb. 11 at Bet365 Sportsbook. This SGP was created using their Same Game parlay+ feature. You may see different individual odds but the parlay should still add up to approximately +320.
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The current Super Bowl odds price the 49ers as short favorites over the Chiefs. With San Francisco favored, here is our analysis of three Super Bowl same-game parlay picks involving the 49ers.
49ers SGP Picks #1: 1H Moneyline
We’re unsure if San Francisco will be able to defeat Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs in Super Bowl 58. However, we do project the 49ers to be leading the game at halftime. The first addition to our 49ers same-game parlay is the San Francisco first-half moneyline at -125 odds.
Brock Purdy discusses his mindset going into #SBLVIII. pic.twitter.com/ziVfCkbOFU
— San Francisco 49ers (@49ers) February 8, 2024
We feel this line has value based on some overreaction to San Francisco’s two playoff wins so far. The 49ers were trailing in both those games and have developed a reputation of not being a strong first-half team. However, when you look at the entire season, San Fran ranks 3rd in 1st-half time of possession and 4th in 1st-half points (14.8).
San Francisco relies more heavily on its run game, which will help sustain drives and keep the ball out of Mahomes’ hands in the first half. KC’s defense has been lights out in the second half this season (6.8 PPGA), but they are allowing over 10 points on average in the opening 30 minutes.
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49ers SGP Picks #2: Christian McCaffrey TD
An obvious but needed addition to your 49ers same-game parlay is a Christian McCaffrey anytime touchdown. He has the best odds of any 49ers player to find paydirt at -225, which is actually one of his lowest prices of the season.
The touchdown machine 😤@49ers RB Christian McCaffrey is the 2023 Offensive Player of the Year! pic.twitter.com/VUme8LucZ1
— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) February 9, 2024
Kansas City only surrendered 10 rushing TDs all season, but McCaffrey is a different beast entirely. The NFL OPOY gashed an elite Detroit Lions run defense for 90 yards and two scores in the NFC Championship. Plus, he’s only been kept out of the endzone in five of 16 games.
San Francisco already rushes the ball on 45% of their offensive plays, which is the highest in the league. That could increase even more facing a KC defense that is excellent at defending the pass but vulnerable against the run. The 49ers will get McCaffrey the ball in short-yardage situations near the goal line, and he’ll power his way into the endzone.
49ers SGP Picks #3: Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards
To close out our 49ers same-game parlay, we’re targeting San Francisco wide receiver Deebo Samuel. The 28-year-old is coming off one of his strongest performances of the season, hauling in eight receptions for 89 yards against the Lions in the NFC Championship.
#49ers WR Deebo Samuel forced EIGHT missed tackles on 11 touches against the #Lions in the NFC Championship game 🤯
(h/t @Ihartitz) pic.twitter.com/d3fzR1aHCw
— Dov Kleiman (@NFL_DovKleiman) February 1, 2024
The reason we are targeting Samuel over a George Kittle or Brandon Aiyuk is two-fold. For starters, the Chiefs rank third in the NFL in yards allowed to tight ends (42.6). Secondly, Chiefs’ elite cornerback L’Jarius Sneed is projected to line up opposite Aiyuk for most of the game.
Samuel will have the more favorable matchup Sunday, as the Chiefs rank 25th in efficiency when it comes to defending No. 2 wide receivers. Samuel is averaging 59.5 receiving yards per game in 2023 and leads all wide receivers with 8.8 yards after the catch. His explosiveness will help this prop cash Sunday.
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